FOMC在
联邦公开市场委员会今天决定将1联邦基金利率提高25基点,上升到它的目标位4.5%。
虽然最近的经济数据不平衡,经济行为的扩张依然显得稳健。最近几个月核心通货膨胀仍然处在低水平,长期通货膨胀预期依然得到控制。不过,资源利用的可能增加以及能源价格上升对通货膨胀带来潜在压力。
委员会判断,可能有必要采取进一步的政策措施,以便使同时实现持续的增长以及价格稳定目标大致相当。在任何情况下,委员会将因应经济前景的变化而采取进一步措施来达成货币政策目标。
为FOMC货币政策行动投票的理事:阿伦·格林斯潘主席;T·F·盖特勒副主席;苏珊·S·比斯;罗杰·W·小弗格森;杰克·桂恩;唐纳德·L·库恩;杰·M·来克;马克·W·奥尔逊;桑德拉·皮亚拉托;以及简尼特·耶伦。
同时,与加息相关联的行动,委员会一致同意将贴现率提高25个基点,增加到5.5%。联邦公开市场委员会采取这次行动,是采纳了下列各个联邦储备银行的董事局提交的请求,即波士顿,纽约,费拉德尔菲亚,克利夫兰,里士满,亚特兰大,芝加哥,圣.路易斯,堪萨斯城,达拉斯和旧金山。(注意:明尼阿波利斯没有提交这样的请求)
这次才是格林斯潘在任期间的最后一次加息行动。在此需要更正的是:在第十三次加息时,笔者犯了一个错误,即把第十三次加息说成是格林斯潘的“天鹅绝加”,闹了一个笑话。但是,FED并不会因为格老的离去而停止加息进程。
未来,美联储将如何加息,这是一个问题。也许,伯南克会改变一下方式,根据我对这个人的理解,他可以变的东西并不多。唯一可能改变的东西也许是:利率决定将根据经济增长和通货膨胀等基本因素而定,他会把格林斯潘的加息时间表抛弃,他的自由度也许会更大,而不是人们预测的那样更小。毕竟他刚刚上台,究竟伯南克有什么招数甚至风格,至少需要观察1-2年。
Release Date: January 31, 2006
For immediate release
The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4-1/2 percent.
Although recent economic data have been uneven, the expansion in economic activity appears solid. Core inflation has stayed relatively low in recent months and longer-term inflation expectations remain contained. Nevertheless, possible increases in resource utilization as well as elevated energy prices have the potential to add to inflation pressures.
The Committee judges that some further policy firming may be needed to keep the risks to the attainment of both sustainable economic growth and price stability roughly in balance. In any event, the Committee will respond to changes in economic prospects as needed to foster these objectives.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Alan Greenspan, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Susan S. Bies; Roger W. Ferguson, Jr.; Jack Guynn; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Mark W. Olson; Sandra Pianalto; and Janet L. Yellen.
In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 25-basis-point increase in the discount rate to 5-1/2 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York,