宋圭武观点52：  小农经济在自给自足条件下还有一定生存力

小农经济在自给自足条件下，还有一定生存力。但在诸子均分制下，人均土地必然越来越少，土地养活人的能力越来越弱，这会导致两种情况。一种是产生单位土地劳动力过密化投入以及单位土地产出率提高现象；一种是由于土地养活不了很多人，产生大量失地农民。而社会若产生大量失地农民，在社会没有稳定就业的前提下，这些人必然多变为贫困人口，成为社会的不稳定因素。当社会贫困人口过多时，农民起义就可能发生，推翻王朝。而每一次农民起义，使国家人口大量减少，人均土地增加，这客观减少了人地矛盾。但随人口不断增加，在诸子均分制下，人均土地又不断减少，最终王朝又产生大量贫困人口，又是农民起义，最终导致历史循环。所以，虽然小农经济在自给自足条件下，有一定生存能力，但还是不能持久，最终让历史陷入动乱循环。

在大工业和大市场条件下，小农经济必然更是加速破产。农民种地一年的收入，可能还换不来一部手机。还有上学、医疗、农业投入等。收入低下的农民很难参与市场大循环，也很难与大工业进行竞争。

在市场条件下，一些所谓工业服务农业，比如提供化肥、农药等，其实对农业也是一种利润的盘剥，对农业伤害可能更多。农人本无事，城市少扰之，可能对农业更好。

小农经济如何应对大市场和大工业的挑战，合作化是必然路径。如何合作化，需要立足各国的实际推进。对于发展中人口大国，如何解决好三农问题，个人认为，可大面积建设新型国营农场或新型集体农场，具体如何建设，在我其它视频里已经说过，请大家参考。

好，谢谢，谢谢。

Song Guiwu's opinion 52: Small-scale peasant economy has certain viability under the condition of self-sufficiency

Small-scale peasant economy has certain viability under the condition of self-sufficiency.But under the system of equal division of all children, the per capita land is bound to be less and less, and the ability of land to feed people is becoming weaker and weaker, which will lead to two situations.One is to produce the phenomenon of excessive labor intensity input and the increase of output rate of unit land;the other is that land can not feed many people, resulting in a large number of landless peasants.If a large number of landless peasants are produced in society, under the premise of no stable employment in society, these people will inevitably become poor people and become an unstable factor in society.When the number of poor people in society is too large, peasant uprisings may occur and overthrow the dynasty.And every peasant uprising reduces the national population and increases the per capita land, which objectively reduces the contradiction between people and land.But with the continuous increase of population, under the system of equal division of all children, the per capita land is constantly reduced, and finally the dynasty produces a large number of poor people, and peasant uprisings are also produced, ultimately leading to a historical cycle.Therefore, although small-scale peasant economy has certain viability under the condition of self-sufficiency, it still can not last long, and finally plunges history into a cycle of unrest.Under the conditions of large industry and large market, small-scale peasant economy is bound to accelerate bankruptcy. The income of farmers in a year may not be enough to buy a mobile phone.There are also school, medical care, agricultural investment and so on.It is difficult for low-income farmers to participate in the market cycle and compete with big industry.Under market conditions, some so-called industrial services for agriculture, such as providing fertilizer, pesticides and so on, are actually a profit exploitation of agriculture, which may hurt agriculture more.Farmers have nothing to do, and the city may be better for agriculture.How small-scale peasant economy can cope with the challenges of big market and big industry? Cooperation is the inevitable path.How to cooperate? We need to promote it based on the actual situation of each country.For developing countries with large populations, how to solve the problems of agriculture, rural areas and farmers? Personally, I think we can build new state-run farms or new collective farms on a large scale. How to build them is already mentioned in my other videos, please refer to them.OK, thank you, thank you.