外管局严控外资行短期外债余额力排热钱流入


控制热钱的注入,既是控制通货膨胀的需要,也是应对人民币升值的需要。

  人民币高速升值,热钱滚滚流入中国。近期有消息表明,国家外汇管理局将加大监控力度,手段之一就是进一步缩减金融机构的短期外债余额指标。5月23日,外资银行的一位高管向记者透露,今年外管局将对各金融机构实行区别对待的缩减指标,具体文件会在下周下发到银行。

  此前渣打银行的研究报告指出,外管局已告知外资银行,6月份外债限额被再度缩减15%。2007年外资行的外债指标是缩减至2006年的60%。

  根据外管局统计,2007年末外债余额达到3736亿美元,同比增加15.7%。其中,中长期外债余额增加到1535亿美元,同比上升10.2%;短期外债余额达2200亿美元,同比上升19.9%。在登记外债余额中,借入的主权债务余额349亿美元;中资金融机构债务余额803亿美元;境内外资金融机构债务余额463亿美元;中资企业债务余额46亿美元。

  按北京师范大学金融研究中心主任钟伟的估算,2006年和2007年底,中国境内的热钱大约分别为4千亿和5千亿美元,到2008年和2009年底,非常有可能突破6500亿和8千亿美元。

  严格控制热钱的注入是目前的当务之急。

In charge of office accuse of foreign capitals walk short-term external debt balance strength arrange hot money flow into severely outside

Control the running into of hot money, it is a need of controlling the inflation, is the need appreciating to RMB too. RMB appreciate at a high speed, the hot money billows and flows into China. News indicated recently, State Administration of Foreign Exchange Control would devote more efforts to controlling, one of the means is a short-term external debt balance index that further reduces the financial institution. May 23, foreign capitals one of bank high to in charge of, reveal to reporter, in charge of office implement reduction index that treat to every financial institution with a certain discrimination outside this year, the concrete file will be issued to the bank next week. The research paper of Standard Chartered Bank (HK) points out, are in charge of office‘s already telling the foreign capitals bank outside before this, the external debt index that the foreign capitals walked is reducing to 60 in 2006 that the limit of the external debt is reduced in 152007 once again in June According to being in charge of office‘s counting outside, the external debt balance will reach 373,600 million dollars at the end of 2007, will increase by 15.7 among them compared with the same period of last year, the medium and long-term external debt balance rises to 153,500 million dollars, rise by 10.2 compared with the same period of last year | The short-term external debt balance is up to 220 billion dollars, rise by 19.9 in registering the external debt balance compared with the same period of last year, 34,900 million dollars of balance of indebtedness with sovereign right borrowed; The Chinese-funded balance of indebtedness of financial institution is 80,300 million dollars; The local and overseas fund melts the balance of indebtedness of the organization of 46,300 million dollars; The balance of indebtedness of China -invested enterprise is 4,600 million dollars. According to the estimation of Zhong Wei, financial director of research center of Beijing Normal University, 2006 and 2007 The bottom, the hot money within the territory of China is probably 400 billion and 500 billion dollars respectively, with the end of 2009 by 2008, may top 650 billion and 800 billion dollars very much. It is the present task of top priority that the ones that control hot money are poured into strictly.