艾滋病大流行将造成中国的国家性灾难

假如不迅速采取有效措施，中国将成为世界上艾滋病感染人数最多的国家之一，艾滋病的流行将成为国家性灾难。

随之而来的社会经济损失可达人民币几千亿元，这个数字曾经让中国有关领导人担心，艾滋病一旦流行会破坏改革开放以来辛勤建设的成果。

专家在中科院第十次院士大会学术报告会上作了题为《艾滋病的流行趋势、研究进展及遏制策略》的演讲，这个令人不安的话题听得座下观众鸦雀无声。

专家说，中国近年来艾滋病毒感染人数以每年相当快的速度增长，说明中国已经进入快速增长期。根据艾滋病在一个国家的流行规律，开始为传入期和扩散期，一旦进入增长期，就会呈现感染加速度增长的趋势，如果在这个阶段防治措施不力，就会迅速进入泛滥期。所以，中国能用于遏制艾滋病的时间和机遇已经不多。

但是中国对于艾滋病的流行控制却非常滞后。中国的艾滋病防治工作存在三个严重不足：对于艾滋病出现大流行的估计不足，对于艾滋病严重危害的认识不足，对于艾滋病防治工作的投入不足。而这三个不足带来的后果即是：广泛深入的预防宣传不够，支持开展防治措施的政策不够，开展有效干预措施的力度和广度不够，科学研究的投入不够。

中国一些官员的观念也是影响防治工作的一个症结。有些地方对于本地的艾滋病发病情况欺瞒遮盖，甚而对调查研究者持排斥态度。专家举了一个例子，和他一起进行艾滋病研究的某地方学者被停职停薪，因为地方官员认为，透露出该地艾滋病病情有损政绩和地方形象。

他说，艾滋病虽然可怕，但是可以预防的，而且预防措施也是比较简单的，希望中国各级领导能对艾滋病的防治有足够的认识，出台相关政策支持对艾滋病十分有效的措施。他强调，各级政府和各部门的的重视并采取有力措施是遏制艾滋病流行的关键。

文章来源∶http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_570e2b440100gmm9.html

AIDS pandemic will lead to China's national catastrophe

If we do not take prompt and effective measures, China will become the world's largest number of HIV infections one of the countries, the AIDS epidemic will become a national catastrophe.

Attendant socio-economic losses of up to several thousand billion yuan, a figure that had helped the Chinese leaders worry that the AIDS epidemic would undermine the reform and opening up once since the results of the hard construction.

Experts at the Chinese Academy of Sciences Academy of the General Assembly the tenth academic report, made a speech entitled "The AIDS epidemic trends, research progress and containment strategy" speech, this disturbing topic heard the audience is silent blocks.

Experts say the number of HIV infections in China in recent years, a fairly rapid annual growth rate, indicates that China has entered a period of rapid growth. The AIDS epidemic in a country the laws began to spread incoming period and phase, once entered the growth phase, it will show the trend of infection in acceleration of growth, if inadequate control measures at this stage, it will spread rapidly into the period. Therefore, China can be used to curb AIDS, the time and opportunities running out.

But the Chinese for control of the AIDS epidemic is very lag. China's AIDS prevention and control work there are three serious shortage of: For the estimation of a pandemic of AIDS, AIDS is a serious hazard for the lack of knowledge of AIDS prevention and control work for the shortage. Which is three less than the consequences of which are: the prevention of extensive publicity is not enough support to carry out the policy of prevention and control measures is not enough to carry out effective interventions strength and breadth of inadequate investment in scientific research is not enough.

Some Chinese officials, the concept of impact of prevention work is also a sticking point. In some places for the local incidence of AIDS cases cover fool, and even the researchers who reject the attitude of the investigation. Experts cite an example, and to join him in a certain place AIDS research scholar, was suspended without pay, because local officials believe that revealing the place of AIDS and the local conditions detrimental to the image of performance.

He said that AIDS may be horrible, but it is preventable, but preventive measures are relatively simple, and I hope the leadership at all levels of AIDS prevention and treatment can have sufficient knowledge and introduce relevant policies to support a very effective measure against AIDS. He stressed that governments at all levels and departments of the attention and to take effective measures to curb the AIDS epidemic is the key.